We May Have a Serious Mess on Our Hands

21 August 2020

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Based on the models, the NWS National Hurricane Center’s forecasts and my (ahem!) five decades of forecasting extreme weather, we may have a real mess on our hands.

Let’s begin with the fact that we have not kept our electrical grid state-of-the-art and it is not hardened as it should be. Then add, in just the last three weeks.

Hurricane Isaias on the East Coast. More than 12 million people without power.
The Iowa to Ohio Derecho. Nearly 3 million without power.

Now, we have two tropical systems headed for the United States.

The first is coming out of the Atlantic and is headed in the general direction of south Florida (too soon to say for sure).

I believe this storm is a very good bet to be a hurricane when it approaches the United States. The exact intensity is still unknown.

The second is coming out of the western Caribbean.

Because of the two land interactions along its forecast path, the intensity forecast when it might reach the US coast is very uncertain.

I will provide special coverage here and on Twitter (@usweatherexpert) on this unique threat. If you wish to learn how your company can outwit extreme weather, check here.

In the meantime, it is political season. You might ask your state and federal candidates, What are you doing to insure reliable electricity?!

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